Qué factores determinan el desempleo. Una aproximación espacial con datos a nivel cantonal en el Ecuador. 2001-2010

Abstract

This study uses the 2001 and 2010 population and housing censuses with information from 213 cantons and 4 non-delimited areas of Ecuador to analyze the determining factors that affect unemployment. In developing the proposal, crosssectional models and panel data are used, and a spatial panel data methodology is emphasized to find these determinants, as well as the spillover effects of unemployment. The variables considered are related to the productive and commercial structure, the demographic characteristics and those of knowledge. The main findings show the existence of spatial autocorrelation, which suggests that the unemployment rate of a canton is also defined by the rates of its neighboring cantons through the spill-over effect.