Efectos de la segregación energética en la curva medioambiental de Kuznets. Un estudio para el caso Ecuatoriano

Abstract

This study examines the impact of energy-related economic variables on environmental degradation in Ecuador under the Kuznets Environmental Curve (EKC) approach. Information corresponding to the period 1980-2014 was used and a short term equation and a long term equation were estimated using the methodology proposed by Pesaran and Shin (1998), based on the autoregressive model of distributed lags (ARDL). The impact of electricity consumption from renewable sources, dry natural gas and oil consumption in per capita terms were analysed in relation to CO2 emissions from energy consumption. The results do not verify the EKC hypothesis, and it was found that energy consumption from renewable sources is not significant to explain emissions. Forecasts under the ARIMA methodology for 2025 indicate an increase in CO2 emissions from energy consumption in Ecuador